Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for
Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 59
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
120 PM CST FRI MAR 2 2012
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
NORTHERN ALABAMA
NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI
WESTERN AND MIDDLE TENNESSEE
EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 120 PM UNTIL 900
PM CST.
TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 100 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTHWEST OF COLUMBUS
MISSISSIPPI TO 40 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF NASHVILLE TENNESSEE.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 56...WW 57...WW 58...
DISCUSSION...18Z BNA/JAN/BMX SOUNDINGS INDICATE THAT AIR MASS HAS
BECOME EFFECTIVELY UNCAPPED WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1000-1500 J/KG.
BASED ON VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR DATA...IT APPEARS THAT
MULTIPLE...SUBTLE BOUNDARIES WILL GIVE RISE TO SEVERE STORMS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE STRONGEST VERTICAL SHEAR WILL REMAIN
ACROSS TN-PORTION OF WATCH...GRADUALLY DECREASING WITH SWD EXTENT.
NONETHELESS...THE KINEMATIC ENVIRONMENT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA WILL
BE MORE THAN SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF TORNADOES
/POSSIBLY STRONG/...DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
...MEAD
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 59 TORNADO AL MS TN 021920Z - 030300Z
AXIS..100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55SW CBM/COLUMBUS MS/ - 40NNE BNA/NASHVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /39SW IGB - 16S BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25040.
LAT...LON 33049084 36658820 36658459 33048738
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 59 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 59
VALID 030125Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSE GLH
TO 30 SW MSL TO 30 S BNA TO 35 SW LOZ.
..ROGERS..03/03/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-030240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC007-015-017-019-025-051-057-087-095-097-103-105-125-155-159-
163-030240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATTALA CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY HOLMES
ITAWAMBA LOWNDES MONROE
MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA
SHARKEY WEBSTER WINSTON
YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-099-103-117-127-133-137-
141-175-177-185-030240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON COFFEE
CUMBERLAND DE KALB FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
LAWRENCE LINCOLN MARSHALL
MOORE OVERTON PICKETT
PUTNAM VAN BUREN WARREN
WHITE
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 59
VALID 030035Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S GLH TO
45 SW BNA TO 55 N CSV.
..ROGERS..03/03/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-030140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-007-013-015-017-019-025-051-053-057-081-087-095-097-103-
105-115-117-125-141-145-155-159-163-030140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA CALHOUN
CARROLL CHICKASAW CHOCTAW
CLAY HOLMES HUMPHREYS
ITAWAMBA LEE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
SHARKEY TISHOMINGO UNION
WEBSTER WINSTON YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-041-049-051-055-061-087-099-101-103-117-
119-127-133-137-141-149-159-175-177-181-185-187-189-030140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DE KALB
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GILES
GRUNDY JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MARSHALL
MAURY MOORE OVERTON
PICKETT PUTNAM RUTHERFORD
SMITH VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 59
VALID 022335Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WNW GWO
TO 30 ESE MKL TO 25 ESE BWG.
..ROGERS..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-030040-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-025-043-051-053-057-071-081-087-
095-097-103-105-115-117-125-139-141-145-155-159-161-163-
030040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LOWNDES
MONROE MONTGOMERY NOXUBEE
OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC PRENTISS
SHARKEY TIPPAH TISHOMINGO
UNION WEBSTER WINSTON
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-027-031-035-037-039-041-049-051-055-061-071-081-087-
099-101-103-109-111-117-119-127-133-135-137-141-149-159-165-169-
175-177-181-185-187-189-030040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CLAY
COFFEE CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON
DECATUR DE KALB FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HARDIN HICKMAN JACKSON
LAWRENCE LEWIS LINCOLN
MCNAIRY MACON MARSHALL
MAURY MOORE OVERTON
PERRY PICKETT PUTNAM
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 59
VALID 022235Z - 022340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ESE MEM
TO 25 ENE CKV.
..ROGERS..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-022340-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-025-043-051-053-057-071-081-087-
093-095-097-103-105-115-117-125-139-141-145-155-159-161-163-
022340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LOWNDES
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS SHARKEY TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC003-015-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-051-055-061-
069-071-077-081-087-099-101-103-109-111-117-119-127-133-135-137-
141-147-149-159-165-169-175-177-181-185-187-189-022340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD CANNON CHEATHAM
CHESTER CLAY COFFEE
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DECATUR
DE KALB DICKSON FENTRESS
FRANKLIN GILES GRUNDY
HARDEMAN HARDIN HENDERSON
HICKMAN JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MACON MARSHALL MAURY
MOORE OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON
WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 59
VALID 022130Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-022240-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-025-043-051-053-057-071-081-087-
093-095-097-103-105-115-117-125-139-141-145-155-159-161-163-
022240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LOWNDES
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS SHARKEY TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-041-043-047-
049-051-053-055-061-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-
103-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-
165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189-022240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
CLAY COFFEE CROCKETT
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DECATUR
DE KALB DICKSON FAYETTE
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GIBSON
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MACON MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY MOORE
OVERTON PERRY PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WEAKLEY WHITE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 59
VALID 022030Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..HURLBUT..03/02/12
ATTN...WFO...BMX...HUN...MEG...JAN...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 59
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ALC009-033-043-049-057-059-071-073-075-077-079-083-089-093-095-
103-107-125-127-133-022140-
AL
. ALABAMA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BLOUNT COLBERT CULLMAN
DEKALB FAYETTE FRANKLIN
JACKSON JEFFERSON LAMAR
LAUDERDALE LAWRENCE LIMESTONE
MADISON MARION MARSHALL
MORGAN PICKENS TUSCALOOSA
WALKER WINSTON
$$
MSC003-007-009-013-015-017-019-025-043-051-053-057-071-081-087-
093-095-097-103-105-115-117-125-139-141-145-155-159-161-163-
022140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN ATTALA BENTON
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CHOCTAW CLAY GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ITAWAMBA
LAFAYETTE LEE LOWNDES
MARSHALL MONROE MONTGOMERY
NOXUBEE OKTIBBEHA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS SHARKEY TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO UNION WEBSTER
WINSTON YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-033-035-037-039-041-043-047-
049-051-053-055-061-069-071-075-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-
103-109-111-113-117-119-125-127-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-
165-169-175-177-181-183-185-187-189-022140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
CLAY COFFEE CROCKETT
CUMBERLAND DAVIDSON DECATUR
DE KALB DICKSON FAYETTE
FENTRESS FRANKLIN GIBSON
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS JACKSON LAWRENCE
LEWIS LINCOLN MCNAIRY
MACON MADISON MARSHALL
MAURY MONTGOMERY MOORE
OVERTON PERRY PICKETT
PUTNAM ROBERTSON RUTHERFORD
SMITH STEWART SUMNER
TROUSDALE VAN BUREN WARREN
WAYNE WEAKLEY WHITE
WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
Probability of 2 or more tornadoes
|
High (70%)
|
Probability of 1 or more strong (F2-F5) tornadoes
|
Mod (40%)
|
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
|
Mod (30%)
|
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
|
Mod (60%)
|
Probability
of 1 or
more hailstones > 2 inches
|
Mod (30%)
|
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
|
High (90%)
|
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The "Low" category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (F2-F5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
"Moderate" from 30% to 60%, and "High" from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.